In the wake of regulatory initial margining requirements, counterparty credit risk has reduced and thus CVA has declined. However, increased dealer costs associated with IM have forced banks to take a closer look at its impact on profitability, giving rise to the Margin Valuation Adjustment (MVA).
On September 20th, Numerix Director of Quantitative Research, Andrew McClelland, Ph.D., explained the pricing and profitability impacts of this shift for banks, explored some of the complexities posed by initial margin requirements and the margining processes for cleared and non-cleared trades, and offered an introduction to MVA calculations and the complex computational challenges they present.
Initial margin has long been a requirement for counterparties clearing trades through central clearing houses and is known to have an impact on dealer costs. As mandatory bilateral posting of initial margin for non-cleared trades is being phased in, bilateral initial margin is likely to have even more pronounced impacts on dealer costs. Banks that don’t begin updating pricing platforms to reflect the anticipated costs of posting initial margin will be at risk of incurring losses through the long-term effects of these costs on the portfolio.
Margin Valuation Adjustment (MVA) prices in these costs by projecting the expected bilateral initial margin requirements for a trade. Calculating MVA will require the simulation of ISDA’s SIMM over the life of the trade, or portfolio, which presents certain computational challenges that render it more of a burden than CVA calculations. Specifically, it will be necessary to simulate the sensitivities of that trade over its entire life. One benefit of examining this problem is that simulated sensitivities could also be used to approximate clearing-house initial margin, yielding a reasonable approach to computing clearing-house MVA.
Andrew McClelland, Ph.D., Director, Quantitative Research, Numerix
Andrew McClelland's work at Numerix focuses on counterparty credit risk issues including valuation adjustments and counterparty exposure production for structured products. He also works on numerical methods for efficient production of risk profiles under real-world measures.
Andrew received his Ph.D. in finance at the Queensland University of Technology in financial econometrics. His research involved markets exhibiting crash feedback, option pricing, and parameter estimation using particle filtering methods. His work has been published in the Journal of Banking and Finance, the Journal of Econometrics, and the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics.
Moderator: James Jockle,Chief Marketing Officer, Numerix
Mr. Jockle leads the company's global marketing efforts, spanning a diverse set of solutions and audiences. He oversees integrated marketing communications to customers in the largest global financial markets and to the Numerix partner network through the company's branding, electronic marketing, research, events, public relations, advertising and relationship marketing.
Prior to joining Numerix, he served as Managing Director of Global Marketing and Communications for Fitch Ratings. During his tenure at Fitch, Mr. Jockle built the firm’s public relations program, oversaw investor relations and led marketing and communications plans for several acquisitions. He also oversaw the brand development of a new company dedicated to the enhancement of credit derivative and structured-credit ratings, products and services. Prior to Fitch, Mr. Jockle was a member of the communications team at Moody's Investors Service.
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